2021: 2020 Property-Casualty Loss Reserves - Reserves Strengthen During Lockdown
Conning analyzes Schedule P statutory data and presents its loss reserve findings for individual lines of business, both for the industry and for small, midsized, and large groups of companies. Our prior-year analysis indicated that the industry’s loss reserve position was redundant. Conning assesses the industry’s reserve position at year-end 2020, compares it to prior years, and examines the implications of its relative strength—or weakness. The study includes historical loss development data, accident-year results, and analysis of trends based on key segments and company actions.
1. Introduction
2. Executive Summary
3. Industry Overview—Common Themes
- More Favorable Loss Development in 2020
- Factors Influencing the 2020 Reserve Picture
- Summary Evaluation of Reserve Strength
- Loss Reserves by Company Size Segment
- Summary
4. Private Passenger Auto Liability/Medical
- Reserve Position Strengthens Further in 2020
- Reserves for Most Accident Years Appear Redundant
- Summary
5. Homeowners/Farmowners
- Further Improvement in Reserve Redundancy in 2020
- Summary
6. Workers’ Compensation
- No Change in Reserve Redundancy in 2020
- Summary
7. Commercial Multiperil
- Reserve Redundancy Improves in 2020
- Summary
8. Other Liability
- Reserve Position Continues to Improve
- Summary
9. Commercial Auto/Truck Liability/Medical
- Continued Improvement in Reserve Position, but Still Deficient
- Summary
10. Medical Professional Liability
- Reserve Redundancies Have Largely Run Out
- Summary
11. Miscellaneous Lines
- Reserve Redundancy Improves; Favorable Reserve Development Continues
- Summary
12. Asbestos and Environmental
- Development of the Survival Ratio
- Summary
13. Industry Comparison with Small Insurers
- Reserves for Small Insurers Appear Deficient; Varies by Line
- Reserve Adequacy Levels Vary by Line of Business
- 2020 Calendar-Year/Accident-Year Reconciliation
- Summary
14. Industry Comparison with Midsized Insurers
- Reserve Position for Midsized Insurers Improves
- Improvements in Major Lines of Business
- 2020 Calendar-Year/Accident-Year Reconciliation
- Summary
15. Industry Comparison with Large Insurers
- Large Insurers’ Reserves Healthier Than the Industry’s
- Redundancies in Most Lines of Business
- 2020 Calendar-Year/Accident-Year Reconciliation
- Summary
Appendices
A. Methodology
B. Glossary
C. Additional Data