Investment Grade CLO Tranches for Insurers: A Relativist’s Guide

June 12, 2024


Most insurers would concede that relative value often guides decision making. Higher interest rates have shifted insurers’ focus, and previously niche asset classes have garnered more attention given their compelling advantages in today’s environment.

The floating-rate debt tranches of collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), particularly tranches with investment grade (IG) ratings (AAA-BBB), are one such asset class attracting the interest of insurance companies. In a “higher for longer” rate environment, insurers are capturing elevated yields in an asset class which has historically exhibited less default risk than corporate bonds.

With a typically significant allocation to fixed income, insurers would therefore be well-advised to consider IG CLO tranches given their compelling characteristics:

  • Higher yields than similarly rated corporate debt
  • Structural protections that support capital preservation
  • Improved market liquidity


Yield Advantage

Absolute yields for floating-rate assets increased considerably in tandem with the U.S. Federal Reserve’s (the Fed) aggressive rate-hike campaign in 2022-23.

Coupons for CLO debt tranches (and the broadly syndicated loans that make up the CLO’s collateral portfolio) are floating rate and quoted at a spread over a base rate, primarily the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (“SOFR”). The base rate typically resets every three months, thereby keeping CLO debt tranches and loans relatively insulated from interest rate volatility.

As SOFR rose to over 5%, coupons on floating-rate assets increased to levels not seen since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008-2009. With the Fed in a holding pattern, SOFR-linked CLO debt coupons will likely remain elevated for some time. As such, there is a strong case to be made that yields for IG CLO debt tranches should continue to exceed comparably rated, longer-duration fixed rate assets. As Figure 1 illustrates, IG CLO debt tranches currently offer a significant yield advantage over their corporate bond counterparts (shown as a comparative yield-to-worst).

This pickup in yield reflects two misconceptions of the CLO asset class: perceived illiquidity and structural complexity.

Click below to continue reading Conning’s Viewpoint, “Investment Grade CLO Tranches for Insurers: A Relativist’s Guide."



 

Endnotes
This presentation has been prepared by Octagon Credit Investors, LLC (the “Investment Manager” or “Octagon”) solely for information purposes and is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy an interest in any security which can only be made by a private placement memorandum that contains important information about the proposed product’s risks, fees and expenses (the “Supplemental Disclosure Documents”). Securities are offered through Conning Investment Products, Inc., an affiliated broker dealer and member of FINRA and SIPC. Conning, Inc., Goodwin Capital Advisers, Inc., Conning Investment Products, Inc., a FINRA-registered broker-dealer, Conning Asset Management Limited, Conning Asia Pacific Limited, Octagon Credit Investors, LLC, Global Evolution Holding ApS and its subsidiaries, and Pearlmark Real Estate, L.L.C. and its subsidiaries are all direct or indirect subsidiaries of Conning Holdings Limited (collectively, “CHL Group”) which is one of the family of companies whose controlling shareholder is Generali Investments Holding S.p.A. (“GIH”) a company headquartered in Italy. Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. is the ultimate controlling parent of all GIH subsidiaries. Conning has investment centers in Asia, Europe and North America.
Octagon Credit Investors, LLC, Conning, Inc., Conning Investment Products, Inc., Goodwin Capital Advisers, Inc., Global Evolution USA, LLC, and PREP Investment Advisers, L.L.C. are registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, as amended, and have noticed other jurisdictions they are conducting securities advisory business when required by law. In any other jurisdictions where they have not provided notice and are not exempt or excluded from those laws, they cannot transact business as an investment adviser and may not be able to respond to individual inquiries if the response could potentially lead to a transaction in securities. SEC registration does not carry any official endorsement or indication that the adviser has attained a level of skill or ability.
Some information in this presentation reflects proprietary research based upon various data sources. In addition, some information cited in this presentation has been taken from third-party sources that are believed to be reliable but which have not been verified for accuracy or completeness. Octagon is not responsible for errors or omissions from these sources. No representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of information and Octagon assumes no obligation to update or otherwise revise such information. Prospective clients, including those subject to ERISA, should note that this presentation is being furnished to you on the condition that it will not form a primary basis for any investment decision. The Investment Manager makes no representation that the information contained in this presentation is accurate or complete, nor does it review or assume any responsibility for any information received from, or created by, any third parties, including the performance data of indexes and benchmarks. Views expressed herein are subject to change without notice. All data concerning returns and satisfaction of performance tests are historical and based on the Investment Manager’s knowledge; as such, they do not represent current performance levels, some or all of which may have changed since the dates referenced herein. Performance achieved prior to December 31, 2021 was predominantly based on investments that used USD LIBOR as a reference rate. With LIBOR being phased out over the period of time from 2022 through 2023, and the syndicated debt and CLO securities markets transitioning to alternative reference rates, primarily CME Term SOFR, it is possible that this transition has affected returns and 
that syndicated debt and CLO securities could achieve different returns after this transition than they might have achieved if referencing LIBOR. This document does not constitute investment, tax, legal, regulatory or accounting advice. Under no circumstances should this document be used or considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security, financial instrument or investment vehicle. Investors are advised to make an independent review regarding the economic benefits and risks of purchasing or selling the financial instruments mentioned in this document to determine whether an investment is suitable for them and reach their own conclusions regarding the legal, tax, regulatory, accounting and other aspects of any transaction in the financial instrument in relation to their particular circumstances. Investments described herein carry a risk of loss, which could be significant, and that investors should be prepared to bear.
These materials contain forward-looking statements. Investors should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from those referenced in forward-looking statements for many reasons. Forward-looking statements are necessarily speculative in nature, and it can be expected that some or all of the assumptions underlying any forward-looking statements will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results. Variations of assumptions and results may be material. Without limiting the generality of the foregoing, the inclusion of forward-looking statements herein should not be regarded as a representation by the Investment Manager or any of their respective affiliates or any other person of the results that will actually be achieved by the strategy. None of the foregoing persons has any obligation to update or otherwise revise any forward-looking statements, including any revision to reflect changes in any circumstances arising after the date hereof relating to any assumptions or otherwise. 
It is the responsibility of any person in possession of this document and any related materials to inform himself of and to observe all applicable laws and regulations of the countries of his nationality, residence, ordinary residence or domicile. If you are in any doubt about the contents of this document, you should consult your financial consultant, stockbroker, lawyer, accountant or other professional adviser. By your acceptance and use of this document you (i) accept and agree to the foregoing; (ii) represent that you are qualified to receive these materials; and (iii) agree not to copy or circulate these materials or any information in them to any other person without the express consent of the Investment Manager. No part of this document may be reproduced in any manner without the written permission of the Investment Manager.
General Risks related to Alternative Investments: General Economic and Market Conditions, Increased Regulatory Oversight, Use of Borrowed Funds, Complexity of Trading Strategy—Reliance on Technology, Futures, Commodities and Derivatives, Hedging Transactions, Options, Short Sales, and Risk of Global Investing. Risks related to an investment in a strategy: Absence of Operating History, Absence of Regulatory Oversight, Nature of Investments, Business and Regulatory Risk of Hedge Funds, Portfolio Turnover, Risk of Varied Performance, Potential Lack of Diversification, Potential Exposure to Prime Brokers, Potential Exposure to Derivative Counterparties, Execution of Transactions, Certain Tax Risks, Reliance on Manager, Absence of Secondary Market, Operating Deficits, Economic Conditions, Calculation of Operational Net Fund Value, Market Risk, Investors not to Participate in Management of the Fund, Illiquidity of Interests, and Distributions In Kind.

Risk Factors Associated With CLO Debt Investing May Include (But Are Not Limited To):
COMPLEXITY: CLOs often involve risks that are different from, or more acute than, risks associated with other types of debt instruments: 
The complex structure of the security may produce unexpected investment results
Ratings agencies may downgrade their original ratings of CLO debt tranches
Majority equity holders retain the right to call or refinance/reprice a CLO, creating uncertainty for minority equity and debt holders
LIQUIDITY RISK
CLOs may be difficult to value and may constitute illiquid investments
DEFAULT RISK OF UNDERLYING CLO INVESTMENTS
During periods of economic uncertainty and recession, the incidence of modifications and restructurings of investments may increase, resulting in impairments to the underlying asset value and reduced “subordination” to the tranched CLO liabilities
REGULATION
CLOs are susceptible to changing regulations, influencing eligibility of certain investments, risk retention requirements, and other factors that can influence availability and liquidity
SOFR RISK: 
CLO debt and bank syndicated loans historically used LIBOR as an interest rate benchmark. On June 30, 2023, following a multi-year transition away from LIBOR, all USD LIBOR tenors ceased to be representative. Accordingly, most CLO debt notes and bank syndicated loans now use CME Term SOFR as a reference rate (with a minority of bank syndicated loans referencing 6-month USD LIBOR or synthetic USD LIBOR). Some CLOs have experienced or may experience a degree of mismatch between their liabilities and assets after June 30, 2023, with certain CLOs’ issued securities tied to Term SOFR and certain of their underlying collateral tied to LIBOR (or vice versa). In addition, different assets may have adopted different credit spread adjustments as part of their transition to SOFR, further contributing to a possible mismatch between CLO assets and liabilities. The aforementioned mismatch may be greater at certain points in the future versus others, and the basis risk created by this mismatch could potentially have a negative impact on returns for CLO equity noteholders. Moreover, different assets will reference Term SOFR rates for different periods of time, e.g. 1-month or 3-month. While CLO securities will typically reference 3-month Term SOFR, leveraged loans can reference different rates or time periods; accordingly, it is likely that CLOs will experience a mismatch between the CLO securities (debt and equity issued by the CLO) and underlying leveraged loan collateral. Such a mismatch could result in the CLO not collecting sufficient interest proceeds on underlying collateral to make interest payments on the CLO debt. This could result in deleveraging a CLO or could impact returns for CLO debt and equity holders. 
CLO MANAGEMENT
The activities of any CLO will generally be directed by a collateral manager; consequently, the success of any CLO will depend, in large part, on the expertise of the collateral manager’s investment professionals. Underlying assets in a CLO “turn over” over time due to sales and repayments.
GENERAL MARKET AND ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
Changing economic, political, regulatory or market conditions, interest rates, general levels of economic activity, the price of securities and debt instruments and participation by other investors in financial markets may affect the value of CLO